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2024-12-13 05:34:48

A-share slow cattle outlook, roll call at upper and lower positionsSo what do you think of the day that exceeded expectations?This is beyond my expectation. Although I maintain the view that A shares are entering a bull market, my friends who have been paying attention to me know that I am pessimistic.


It is worth mentioning that I have always been optimistic about this science and technology innovation, and I have always compared it with Beijiao 50. Now Beijiao 50 has been continuously adjusted, and now there is no first board. The continuous freezing point is bound to be accompanied by a strong rebound. If there is a new cycle, it will still be the first choice for flexibility, followed by Kechuang 50.How to judge whether it is less than expected? Very simply, if the high-end large-cap stocks such as banks, oil and coal rise, it will be bad. If the large-cap stocks rise and the index rises (the 28 th division), but the small and medium-cap stocks do not rise, it will also be bad. This is the big money to pull the large-cap stocks up to cover the departure. or vice versa, Dallas to the auditoriumTherefore, I emphasized before that A shares would fluctuate between 3150 and 200, and fell below 3150, but I should have thought that the bottom of the market was rising and the consolidation was going up. Finally, I paid the bill for my cognition: "I'm sorry".


In the exact words, find it yourself, and if you let it go, you won't get through.In my opinion, if the news in the next 11-12 days is not as good as expected (in fact, it is enough), it will falsely pull down the index, then generally fall, fall to around 3330, and then draw 3350, and at the end of the month, it will reach around 3230 on the May line;When the hesitant funds and investors exclaimed that the cow was coming, the big funds were lured to 3800, and then fell back to 3500 in January next year.

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